Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 5.968216 6.806896 7.731861 8.829437 10.098616 11.522811 13.245851
2025-06-01 4.730179 5.791097 7.054214 8.675326 10.709891 13.190766 16.463262
2025-06-08 3.952508 5.093869 6.530627 8.484284 11.090447 14.473582 19.240639
2025-06-15 3.607212 4.851752 6.493081 8.836374 12.128840 16.638826 23.368054
2025-06-22 3.257097 4.541526 6.303566 8.925975 12.778656 18.307356 26.979661
2025-06-29 2.932260 4.218917 6.045875 8.866178 13.176465 19.623755 30.201828
2025-07-06 2.651222 3.923145 5.785865 8.757853 13.465688 20.779410 33.285458
2025-07-13 2.510949 3.817523 5.789033 9.037175 14.365909 22.958256 38.264457
2025-07-20 2.370287 3.694486 5.748403 9.234460 15.143220 25.008973 43.275054
2025-07-27 2.276587 3.634193 5.796472 9.573477 16.181565 27.597168 49.549656
2025-08-03 2.085701 3.398054 5.536197 9.364479 16.248136 28.496389 52.842766
2025-08-10 1.932766 3.210899 5.339044 9.241128 16.445536 29.637461 56.720514
2025-08-17 1.795384 3.040740 5.159449 9.137232 16.678001 30.888842 61.029959
2025-08-24 1.662715 2.867650 4.959676 8.976377 16.784639 31.909487 65.008612
2025-08-31 1.538009 2.698205 4.751448 8.778023 16.794137 32.733069 68.673498
2025-09-07 1.505363 2.691639 4.836374 9.143407 17.950850 35.988740 78.069393
2025-09-14 1.438057 2.615401 4.785134 9.236399 18.561827 38.179554 85.387386
2025-09-21 1.356800 2.506430 4.662704 9.174337 18.840418 39.687751 91.328642
2025-09-28 1.276417 2.392969 4.522380 9.061913 18.997644 40.943229 96.838532
2025-10-05 1.247823 2.377880 4.573244 9.351815 20.063099 44.362134 108.222561
2025-10-12 1.211410 2.344352 4.584122 9.556590 20.958436 47.492985 119.360979
2025-10-19 1.191754 2.342899 4.659703 9.908512 22.228722 51.667514 133.936730
2025-10-26 1.118369 2.226008 4.486854 9.691554 22.136684 52.504890 139.520485